Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.812625 4.093865 4.394166 4.740118 5.129471 5.556255 6.062382
2025-04-27 3.409993 3.814665 4.275480 4.845274 5.539783 6.370908 7.459980
2025-05-04 3.181014 3.657484 4.224431 4.961648 5.915151 7.137390 8.877590
2025-05-11 2.963052 3.475170 4.104502 4.954573 6.106226 7.667344 10.053604
2025-05-18 2.795619 3.332796 4.010879 4.956963 6.291805 8.195212 11.307025
2025-05-25 2.600299 3.136212 3.825866 4.811181 6.244254 8.368924 12.034411
2025-06-01 2.447621 2.982648 3.683109 4.705582 6.234952 8.587377 12.864695
2025-06-08 2.353529 2.899090 3.626406 4.712730 6.387933 9.072633 14.259765
2025-06-15 2.294088 2.857192 3.622037 4.792148 6.656187 9.780785 16.250704
2025-06-22 2.164467 2.711450 3.461776 4.624530 6.509921 9.750285 16.732747
2025-06-29 2.062020 2.598318 3.341404 4.508190 6.435094 9.834971 17.483107
2025-07-06 1.971793 2.498034 3.233950 4.403677 6.368928 9.924419 18.266526
2025-07-13 1.898235 2.422441 3.164776 4.364660 6.429336 10.299622 19.957163
2025-07-20 1.863612 2.401533 3.176261 4.457415 6.736136 11.228716 23.517486
2025-07-27 1.833994 2.385727 3.193513 4.559786 7.072358 12.292899 28.097226
2025-08-03 1.780692 2.332076 3.148970 4.553567 7.201450 12.928284 31.747724
2025-08-10 1.733413 2.284949 3.111480 4.555669 7.345952 13.631881 36.186389
2025-08-17 1.660684 2.196458 3.004165 4.427398 7.213268 13.629051 37.819175
2025-08-24 1.600306 2.124431 2.919768 4.334325 7.143767 13.777168 40.280837
2025-08-31 1.564764 2.088803 2.891906 4.340629 7.282916 14.506588 46.251463
2025-09-07 1.544293 2.075324 2.898941 4.410633 7.567239 15.713316 56.495503
2025-09-14 1.482135 1.994965 2.792630 4.262795 7.353450 15.428339 57.249656
2025-09-21 1.431880 1.931738 2.712429 4.159982 7.233017 15.408268 59.966135